Monday, August 13, 2012

The Curious Case Of Michel Samaha

A former information minister was arrested under terror suspicion smuggling explosive materials into Lebanon to commit bombings hitting the Syrian revolution as such.

In Hassan Nasrallah's Lebanon news like that doesn't appear unusual at the first glance, the Hezbollah is known for its' close relation to the Assad regime. The arrested is a Christian, known as loyal to the Baathist apparatus and it seems the explosives found could be the same type used in earlier bombings on Lebanese ground.

Disregarding the circumstance that Michel Samaha's behavior is not in accordance with the moral codex of Christianity his confessions planning the assaults in the generally Sunni dominated North of the country letting it appear as a terror act obviously Muslim extremists are responsible for widens the whole plot into new dimensions especially relating to the Lebanese-Syrian relations. It looks that the covering of Samaha's activities together with a high ranking Syrian head of intelligence and other co-perpetrators could be the top of an iceberg called proof that the Syrian regime is directly linked to former assaults on the Southwestern neighbor's territory. So the Lebanese themselves might be the ones mostly irritated about this plot turning definitely off the pro-regimers' coalition including the Hezbollah if proven true.

Until Samaha's arrest everything went well viewed through the Syrian regime's glasses: Besides the Eastern ally and big player in the Arab region, Iran, the dominating influence of the Baath party seemed cemented. But this as almost natural given regarded liaison will become becomes deep cracks if the Lebanese society's becoming aware of being simply Bashar's backyard.

The last remaining questions are what has driven Michel Samaha to confess amongst others the planned assassination of a spiritual leader of the Maronites? Was he really overwhelmed by remorse? Or did he felt that Assad's close allies are also part of the sinking boat?

The impact of the discovered plot is strong enough to reduce mid-termed the silencing or indirect support of the Lebanese pro-Assad faction exposing them as a minority of hardliners betting on the losing horse. The info war jungle around the Syrian regime and its' allies has made the most among the pro-revolution supporters becoming cautious jumping to conclusions but this might perhaps really be the beginning of a paradigm shift in the Lebanese-Syrian relations ..

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